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  • Supporters of former Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva display a banner in front of the statue of Christ the Redeemer in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil April 14, 2018.

    Supporters of former Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva display a banner in front of the statue of Christ the Redeemer in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil April 14, 2018. | Photo: Reuters

Published 15 May 2018

The poll was conducted by the MDA Institute between May 9 and 11 in 137 municipalities.

After spending over a month detained at the federal police headquarters in Curitiba, former Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva continues to lead the voting intention for Brazil's presidential election in October.

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The poll, which was conducted by MDA Institute between May 9 and 11 in 137 municipalities and released Monday, confirmed that Lula, co-founder and historical leader of the Workers' Party, or PT, would win the presidency in the first round. He would receive twice the amount of votes of his main rival, extreme right-wing candidate Jair Bolsonaro.

The survey indicated that Lula would receive 32.4 percent of the votes, compared to Bolsonaro's 16.7 percent. Other presidential candidates include Marina Silva (7.6 percent) of the Labor Democratic Party, Ciro Gomes (5.4 percent) of the Brazilian Social Democracy Party, and Geraldo Alckmin (four percent) the former governor of the state of Sao Paulo.

The poll also indicated that Lula would win a resounding victory against any of his rivals in a second round of voting. Lula would take home 45.7 percent of the votes against 25.9 for Bolsonaro. He would secure 44.9 percent of the votes if his rival were Alckmin (19.6 percent) and 44.4 percent against Silva (21 percent).

The Workers' Party announced that they will launch an online platform between the end of May and beginning of June to raise funds for Lula's presidential campaign. It will contain a synthesis of his government program, which is being compiled by the former mayor of Sao Paulo, Fernando Haddad, with assistance from economist Marcio Pochmann and former congressman Renato Simoes, according to Brasil 24/7.

“Our presidential candidate is Lula, and plan B is a full on struggle. There is no option,” said the national coordinator for the Landless Workers' Movement, or MST, Joao Paulo Rodrigues.

Despite being convicted on alleged corruption charges and imprisoned since April 7, events that many legal experts and observers attribute to lawfare and a salacious mainstream media campaign, Lula has topped every 2018 electoral poll conducted by Vox Populi, Ibope, Datafolha, Data Poder 360, Instituto Parana, the National Confederation of Transportation/MDA and Ipsos.

His presidential election victory in 2003 represented the first time the PT assumed control of Brazil's executive branch. Re-elected in 2006, his two-terms in office marked by a slew of social programs, lifting millions of Brazilians out of poverty and removing the country from the United Nations World Hunger Map. He left office with a record approval rating of 83 percent in 2011, according to Datafolha.


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