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  • Lenin Moreno, candidate of the ruling PAIS Alliance Party, gestures at the Hotel Colon during the presidential election in Quito.

    Lenin Moreno, candidate of the ruling PAIS Alliance Party, gestures at the Hotel Colon during the presidential election in Quito. | Photo: Reuters

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Lenin is the favorite to win, with 50.61 percent of the vote, according to the poll.

A new poll released Thursday has given government candidate Lenin Moreno a lead of 13.89 percentage points over his right-wing rival Guillermo Lasso in the second round of the presidential elections in Ecuador.

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According to the poll by Diagnostico, Lenin is the favorite to win, with 50.61 percent of the vote.

The poll is based on surveys of 3,349 people taken between March 13 and 15.

Although Moreno fell short of the 40 percent threshold needed to avoid a second round in the Feb. 19 elections, the Alianza Pais candidate received the highest percentage of the vote in the first round than any other president in Ecuador in past 40 years, with the exception of President Rafael Correa. The ruling Alianza Pais party also secured the majority in the National Assembly.

The poll results come amid a groundswell of support for the left-wing candidate. Since the first round of elections, the Coordinator of Social Movements, Communities and Nationalities, made of 1,200 groups nationwide, the Ecuadorean Federation of LGBTI Organizations and 22 Indigenous, Afro-Ecuadorean and social movement organizations have endorsed Moreno for the upcoming April 2 run-off elections.

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The presidential elections mark an important turning point in Ecuador’s political history.

For the past 10 years, Ecuador has been led by President Correa and his Alianza Pais party. In this period, Correa championed social and economic policies to reduce poverty and inequality as part of a program known as the Citizens’ Revolution.

Ecuadoreans must now choose whether to support Moreno and pursue the gains of the Citizens’ Revolution, which has lifted 1.5 million people out of poverty since 2007, or vote for Lasso, a neoliberal former banker, who has campaigned to cut taxes and roll back social services.

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